I. Analysis of Macro Environment and Trade Risks

The advanced materials, quantum sensor, and superconductor industries serve as the central axis of the convergence industry of quantum technology, AI, and new materials.
The global market is projected to grow at an average annual rate of over 20% from 2025 to 2026 and reach approximately $300 billion by 2030. Access to materials, components, technology cooperation, and procurement markets
through FTAs ​​is a key competitive factor, and Korea is expanding exports of quantum materials, measurement equipment, and nanoprocess technologies based on agreements such as the Korea-EU, RCEP, CEPA, and IPEF . Major risks include the lack of technical standards, export controls, patent and IPR disputes, CBAM-type energy regulations , and the securitization of AI and quantum technology (in preparation for Q-Day) .


 

Risk factors

2025~2026 Outlook

Influence (1~5)

Implications

Lack of technical standardsIntensifying competition for national standards5Participation in ISO·IEC joint standards is necessary
Export ControlQuantum sensor and superconducting technology limitations4Resolution through the Korea-EU Technology Agreement
CBAM spreadHigh-energy material and process regulations4Strengthening LCA and RE100 Response
IP disputeConflict over patent and material licensing3Utilizing IP protection provisions within the FTA
Research personnel restrictionsStrengthening technology leakage prevention and security3Parallel technical security agreement necessary
II. FTA Utilization Rates and Corporate Practice Statistics

FTAs hold significance beyond mere tariff reductions
in the advanced materials and quantum sensor industries. The Korea-EU, CEPA, and RCEP agreements include chapters on technology, standards, and research cooperation , supporting the accumulation of rules of origin
for quantum sensors and superconductor equipment , entry into procurement markets, and the exchange of technical data
. In particular, CEPA is expanding into Korea-UAE joint R&D through the UAE Quantum and Advanced Materials Cluster Project .

Specific fields

FTA Applicability

Major obstacles

Management points

Superconducting materials (HS8541/7006)Korea-EU·RCEPSafety and standard discrepanciesCE·IEC certification
Quantum sensor (HS9027)CEPA · Korea-EUIP and Export ControlJoint Patent and Technology Security System
Nanomaterials (HS3824)RCEP·IPEFEnvironmental and CBAM RegulationsLCA · Low Carbon Certification
Low-temperature cooling and measuring equipmentCEPA·RCEPComplex procurement proceduresUtilization of CEPA technology procurement
III. Country-by-Country Tariff and Non-Tariff Comparison Matrix

Although most advanced materials and quantum equipment are low-tariff items, technology security, standard certification, and environmental assessment act as barriers.
FTAs ​​alleviate substantive barriers to entry through technology recognition, the opening of procurement markets, and mutual recognition of standards .

market

Major items

MFN (Basic Tax Rate)

When applying the FTA

Non-tariff barriers

Comments

EUQuantum sensors and superconducting materials0~3%0%CBAM·EcolabelLCA and Carbon Data Mandatory
UAENano/sensor equipment5~8%Elimination of CEPA phasesTechnology Security and Procurement RegulationsKorea-UAE Bilateral Industrial Cooperation
japanNanomaterials and measuring equipment2~4%RCEP applicationJIS · Safety CertificationMitigation possible through joint R&D
USAQuantum materials and cooling systems0~2%FTA low rateITAR·AI SecurityCHIPS·Quantum Initiative Linkage
ASEANAdvanced materials3~6%RCEP accumulationQuality and environmental regulationsAdvantageous for expanding production bases and OEMs
IV. Impact of ESG, CBAM, RE100, and Technology Standards

The advanced materials industry is evaluated as an industry that has high power and high carbon processes
, but at the same time supplies **carbon reduction technology materials (superconductivity, power efficiency, quantum resistance)**.

Systems/Issues

Key requirements

Influence (1~5)

react

CBAMSubmission of carbon data by material process5LCA·EPD implementation
ESG procurementProduction and supply chain transparency4ESG Certification and Disclosure
RE100Renewable power for research and production facilities3PPA·ESS linkage
Technical standardsParticipation in ISO and IEC international standards4Securing Standard Leadership
Safety regulationsSafety certification for superconductors and cooling equipment3IEC·CE Integrated Certification
V. Investment and Supply Chain Shift Scenarios

Korea: Strengthening materials-equipment linked industrial clusters based on core technologies in nano, superconductivity, and quantum sensors.

EU: Demand for low-carbon advanced materials surges due to Green Deal and CBAM , and procurement market opening expands.

UAE: Establishment of CEPA-based Quantum and Materials R&D Cluster.

ASEAN: Emerging as a hub for intermediate processing of advanced materials.

United States: Strengthening the attraction of local production and supply chains based on the IRA and CHIPS Acts.

VI. AI-based 3-Month Import/Export Forecast

Combination of AI sentiment (α), global advanced materials investment indicators (β), and industrial sentiment (λ). A moderate upward trend is expected
in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the expansion of EU-CEPA technology procurement and increased demand for ESG-friendly materials .

variable

Δ(%) or index

analysis

ΔExport_now+3.5Increase in exports of superconducting materials and quantum sensors
ΔImport_now+1.8Increased imports of high-purity materials and measuring equipment
ΔPrice_now+0.6Reflecting the rise in raw material and process costs
ΔSignal_now+0.042Technology and R&D news is positive
ΔFTAEffect+0.39CEPA·RCEP Technological Effects
Forecast_3M+0.66Maintaining a moderate upward trend for 3 months

Formula (Summary): Forecast_3M = 0.5·ΔSignal + 0.3·ΔFTAEffect + 0.2·ΔPrice

VII. Policy Recommendations and Institutional Improvement Roadmap

field

Suggestion

Executing entity

Expected effects

Technical standardsExpanded participation in ISO and IEC quantum and superconductivity standardsMinistry of Science and ICT and Ministry of Trade, Industry and EnergySecuring technological leadership
CBAM ResponseSupport for Low-Carbon Advanced Material LCA CertificationMinistry of Environment · KTRStable entry into the European market
IP protectionExpansion of technology and data protection provisions within FTATrade HeadquartersMinimizing technology theft and disputes
CEPA cooperationOperation of a joint R&D program for quantum and materialsMinistry of Science and ICT · KOTRAExpanding into the Middle East and EU markets
ESG incentivesExpansion of RE100 certification for advanced materialsMinistry of Trade, Industry and Energy and KEPCOStrengthening procurement competitiveness
VIII. Summary of Conclusion

Cooperation in technology standards, ESG, and procurement through the FTA is the key to accelerating growth in the advanced materials, quantum sensor, and superconductor industries .

Forecast_3M: +0.66 — Reflecting the technological effects of CEPA and RCEP and the expansion of the EU procurement market.

Recommended Strategies: ① Strengthen standards and IP within the FTA technical chapter ② Expand joint research based on CEPA
③ Establish an LCA framework in response to CBAM ④ Strengthen the advanced materials supply chain based on ESG+RE100.